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Lesson 12 of 14

How to Research Your First Stock

4 min read

By now you have the pieces: what a share is, what a fund is, how an order works, what risk means, and how to read the numbers on a company page. This lesson puts them in an order and turns them into something you can run.

It is a process for understanding a company, not a formula for choosing one. Nothing here outputs a yes.

Step 1: Start With Something You Already Know

The first company is not a search problem. It is in your kitchen, your pocket, or your commute.

Starting with a business you have used has one specific advantage: you can check the story against your own life. When a company says demand is strong, you have an opinion about that which did not come from a press release.

Write the name down. One company, not a list of twelve.

Step 2: Say What It Does, in One Sentence

Before any numbers, close the tabs and write down how the company makes money. Not what it is famous for. What it charges for, and who pays.

If the sentence will not finish, that is the finding. It means the research has not happened yet, and no metric will substitute for it.

Two examples of the sentence, written the way it should read:

  • Apple sells phones, computers and watches, and increasingly sells subscriptions to the people who already own them.
  • Costco charges an annual membership fee and sells goods in bulk at very thin margins, so the membership fee is a large share of the profit.

Neither of those is a view on either company. They are the standard the sentence has to meet.

Step 3: Read the Numbers as Sentences

Open the company page and translate each number into plain English before judging it. A metric you cannot say out loud is a metric you are not using.

  • Market cap is what the whole company is worth right now. Say it as a size: "this is a $90 billion company."
  • Revenue is what came in the door. Say the direction: "sales grew 6% over last year."
  • EPS is profit divided by the shares that exist. Say it as a fact: "the company earned $4.10 per share."
  • P/E is the price measured against those earnings. Say it as an exchange: "the market is paying $28 for every $1 the company earns."
  • The 52-week range is where the price has been. Say the position: "it sits nearer the top of the year's range than the bottom."

Do that for five numbers and you understand the company better than most people who hold it.

Step 4: Ask What Would Have to Be True

Every price contains an assumption. A high P/E says the market expects earnings to grow. A low one says the market expects trouble, or slow growth, or both.

So make the assumption explicit. For this price to be reasonable, what would have to be true about this business in five years? More customers? Higher prices? Lower costs? A product line that does not exist yet?

Write the answer in one sentence. That sentence is the thing you are really deciding about, not the ticker.

Step 5: Write Down What Would Make You Say No

This is the step everyone skips, and it does the most work later.

Before going any further, write down what would change your mind. Some examples of the shape:

  • Revenue stops growing for two years running.
  • The main product loses its biggest customer.
  • Debt keeps climbing while profit does not.
  • The reason given in step 4 turns out to be wrong.

A list like that is worth more than any rating, because it was written while you were calm, about a company you had just read about, in your own words. Every decision that comes afterwards is easier with it in front of you.

Step 6: Sleep On It

There is no deadline. The market will be open tomorrow, and next month, and the company will still be there.

Anything that feels like it has to happen today deserves the most suspicion of all. Urgency is a sales technique, not a research finding.

What This Process Does Not Do

It does not say whether to purchase anything. It cannot, and neither can this site.

What it does is make the decision yours rather than borrowed. If the answer is no, you have saved money and learned to read a company. If the answer is yes, you have a written reason, which is the raw material for the next lesson.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

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